Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5706 · PHL → BOS
departs 5:35 PM ET · arrives 7:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 33%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 43%
Thu 10/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±7 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
5pm departures from PHL are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.