Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5725
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5725 · LGA → BOS
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 35%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 43%
Thu 10/8 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
62%
chance · ±0 pts
+29 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
62%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
15%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +35 pts in 24h
+35 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
5pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.04 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.