Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5739
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5739 · LGA → BOS
departs 2:00 PM ET · arrives 3:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 30%
Thu 10/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±0 pts
+30 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +30 pts in 24h
+30 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Other factors
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.