Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5751
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5751 · LGA → BOS
departs 9:00 PM ET · arrives 10:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
9pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.