Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5759
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5759 · LGA → BOS
departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 9:19 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Fridays in October are usually busier than average
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.