Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5760
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5760 · LGA → RIC
departs 5:21 PM ET · arrives 7:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −20 pts in 24h
−20 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
5pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.