Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5761
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5761 · LGA → BOS
departs 12:00 PM ET · arrives 1:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
12pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
LGA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.