Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
YX 5787 · PIT → BOS
departs 7:10 PM ET · arrives 9:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 28%
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at BOS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.