Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5792
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
YX 5792 · LGA → PIT
departs 6:45 PM ET · arrives 8:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 23%
Thu 10/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.