Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5800
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5800 · DTW → GRR
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at GRR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to GRR?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into GRR at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.79 in
GRR (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.