Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5805
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5805 · PHL → BOS
departs 1:10 PM ET · arrives 2:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 25%
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+23 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.