Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5848
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
YX 5848 · JAX → LGA
departs 11:23 AM ET · arrives 1:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to LGA?
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On time or early
88%
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15–30 min late
5%
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30 min–1 hour late
<1%
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1–2 hours late
4%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.