tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1021 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1021 · SMF → DFW

departs 6:42 AM PT · arrives 12:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.5d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.