Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1059SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1059 · DFW → ORD
departs 8:30 AM CT · arrives 11:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±3 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.