AA 1084 · DFW → BNA

took off 1:41 PM CT · expected to land 3:06 PM CT (scheduled 12:51 PM CT → 2:54 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
52%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.45 in

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1084 · DFW → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?