Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1171SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1171 · JAX → DFW
departs 7:24 AM ET · arrives 9:12 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.