tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1238 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1238 · PHX → ONT

departs 8:30 PM MT · arrives 9:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ONT?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.