AA 1271 · DFW → CHA

departs 7:20 PM CT · arrives 10:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↓ CHA usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.30 in

CHA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1271 · DFW → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?