Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1290SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1290 · DFW → ORD
departs 9:35 AM CT · arrives 12:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±3 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.