Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1316 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

AA 1316 · DFW → GSO

departs 7:19 PM CT · arrives 10:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GSO?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ GSO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.23 in

GSO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1316 · DFW → GSO

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSO?