Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1365 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1365 · DFW → SDF

departs 7:00 PM CT · arrives 10:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±6 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SDF?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.77 in

SDF (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,367 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1365 · DFW → SDF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SDF?