Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1384SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1384 · ORD → PHX
departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 4:09 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
27%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.