AA 1484 · DFW → CLE

took off 8:33 PM CT · landed 11:29 PM ET (scheduled 6:31 PM CT → 10:24 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

CLE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1484 · DFW → CLE

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLE?