Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 151 LANDED 5:03 PM CT, ~22 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AA 151 · CDG → ORD

took off 3:28 PM CEST · landed 5:03 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

CDG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 151 · CDG → ORD

Odds over time