Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1520 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1520 · DFW → BNA

departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 11:53 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±3 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.77 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1520 · DFW → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?