Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1529 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1529 · DFW → BOI

departs 9:06 AM CT · arrives 11:19 AM MT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOI?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.77 in

BOI (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1529 · DFW → BOI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOI?