Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1544SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1544 · SMF → DFW
departs 5:18 AM PT · arrives 10:47 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±4 pts+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.