Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1605 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AA 1605 · MCO → BOS

departs 4:01 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 4pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

BOS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1605 · MCO → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?