AA 1675 · MSY → LGA

took off 5:42 PM CT · landed 9:01 PM ET (scheduled 5:28 PM CT → 9:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 733 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.90 in

LGA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1675 · MSY → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?