Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1697 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AA 1697 · DFW → COS

departs 8:55 AM CT · arrives 9:52 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into COS at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.52 in

COS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1697 · DFW → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?