tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1791 LANDED 10:24 AM ET, ~32 MIN EARLY
Yesterday

AA 1791 · PHL → JAX

took off 8:37 AM ET · landed 10:24 AM ET (scheduled 8:34 AM ET → 11:02 AM ET)
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 7h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to JAX?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.