tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1814 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1814 · DFW → EYW

departs 1:02 PM CT · arrives 4:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±7 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 4.7d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EYW?

  1. On time or early
    52%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    21%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    12%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.