Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1946SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1946 · PHX → IND
departs 8:50 AM MT · arrives 3:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.