Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1948 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AA 1948 · DFW → IND

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 10:12 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into IND at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.35 in

IND (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1948 · DFW → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?