Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1951 SCHEDULED
Yesterday

AA 1951 · SAN → PHX

departs 4:22 PM PT · arrives 5:52 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 19h 12h 6h Departs Lands Now

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    54%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    18%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.