Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2121 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AA 2121 · DFW → CHA

departs 12:32 PM CT · arrives 3:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ CHA usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

CHA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2121 · DFW → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?