Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2125SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2125 · MCO → PHL
departs 2:37 PM ET · arrives 5:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.