AA 2295 · JFK → JAC

departs 10:14 AM ET · arrives 1:08 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at JAC more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JAC?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into JAC at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAC

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JAC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2295 · JFK → JAC

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAC?