tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2401 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2401 · DFW → TPA

departs 6:19 PM CT · arrives 9:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
53% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 4.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TPA?

  1. On time or early
    45%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.