tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2516 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2516 · PHX → DSM

departs 8:44 AM MT · arrives 1:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DSM?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.