Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2561SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2561 · IAH → PHL
departs 7:01 AM CT · arrives 11:23 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.