Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2572 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2572 · DFW → SJC

departs 9:15 AM CT · arrives 10:49 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±3 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.52 in

SJC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2572 · DFW → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?