Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2637SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2637 · PHX → SNA
departs 9:07 PM MT · arrives 10:26 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.