tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2644 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2644 · SNA → DFW

departs 9:16 AM PT · arrives 2:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
43% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 4.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    54%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.