Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2669 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2669 · DFW → SNA

departs 10:53 AM CT · arrives 12:05 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.52 in

SNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2669 · DFW → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?