Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2960 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2960 · FCA → LGA

departs 12:26 PM MT · arrives 7:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

FCA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2960 · FCA → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?