Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2992 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2992 · DFW → GSP

departs 7:50 PM CT · arrives 11:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±6 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ GSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.77 in

GSP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2992 · DFW → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?