Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3077SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3077 · PHX → SBP
departs 10:06 AM MT · arrives 11:49 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SBP?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.