Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 310 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AA 310 · GRR → DFW

departs 5:24 PM ET · arrives 7:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 310 · GRR → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?