AA 3119 · OKC → DFW

departs 6:08 AM CT · arrives 7:23 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from OKC are usually not late

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3119 · OKC → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?